Why
Every Trader Should Utilize Bollinger Bands –
Bollinger Bands 101
Originally
created by John Bollinger, Bollinger bands are a tool that
allows investors to analyze volatility and relative price
levels over any particular period of time. This indicator is comprised
of three bands which will reflect any particular investment’s
price action.
These
bands consist of a moving average in the middle, with an upper
and lower band of two standard deviations above or below the
simple moving average.
The
standard deviation is a statistical measure that offers a good
reflection of price volatility. Sharply changing prices will
result in widening of the bands, while a lack of volatility
will be reflected by their narrowing.
Closing
prices are normally used for computing Bollinger
bands. The most
common construction is based upon a 20 day simple moving
average.
The
Appeal of Bollinger Bands
The
attractiveness of the use of Bollinger bands to any investor is
in its ability to quantify relative price levels and
volatility.
When
used in conjunction with price action movements and other
indicators, this investment tool can generate signals that
foreshadow significant moves allowing for profitable trading
opportunities.
When
used in its most simplistic fashion, this indicator is
considered an excellent signal to determine if the investment
under consideration is oversold or
overbought.
When
prices touch the upper Bollinger limit, this signifies there is
an opportunity to consider concerning the sale of the
investment.
Conversely, when prices reach the lower limit, the standard
practice is to consider taking a long
position.
The
Market Psychology of Bollinger Bands
As
these bands are so widely viewed in the marketplace, anyone
considered trading activity should be aware of the significance
when prices approach upper and lower band limits, as these are
the most common entry and exit points for market
participants.
More
often than not, one can visually confirm on a historical price
chart that prices tend to reverse themselves when activity
reaches the levels as represented by Bollinger
bands.
In
addition, penetration of the bands and continued movement in
the direction of penetration usually entails growing momentum
for continued upward or downward movement.
When
used in conjunction with other confirmation signals, the
reaching and/or penetration of the limits represented by
Bollinger calculations have shown themselves to be excellent
opportunities for profitable results.
Most
Effective Use of Bollinger Bands
The most recommended method of using Bollinger signals is to
undertake positions after a period of time in which the bands
have been relatively narrow.
The longer such a time has existed, the greater the likelihood
that a penetration will occur and continue in the direction of
the breakout, especially if this event occurs in the direction
of the previously established longer-term
trend.
Another useful signal would be the occurrence of a relative top
or bottom in prices outside the band, followed immediately by
trading in the opposite direction within the established band
limits.
This is viewed in the marketplace as a good preliminary
indicator that a reversal in price trend is about to
occur.
Bollinger bands, although not originally designed to be a
primary trading signal technique, do offer opportunities for
the astute investor to identify high profit probability entry
and exit points for successful trading.
These types of results will only be enhanced when Bollinger
bands are used in conjunction with other
indicators.
Regardless of the market, Bollinger bands are
indispensable in developing trading
strategies.
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