How Bollinger Bands Help
Make Sense of Volatile Stocks
Bollinger bands are a type of limit measures that are
plotted based upon the standard deviation levels above and below a selected moving average. The result of this exercise is to produce bands that widen during periods of
high volatility, or contract when trading occurs in a less volatile fashion.
Gauging
Market Interest via Bollinger Bands
Consequently, when these bands are large for a
particular stock, it is a sign that there has been serious market interest in the underlying
company.
In this sense, Bollinger bands can be viewed as an
indicator in regards to the supply and demand of the underlying security in question.
When a stock is in a period of low volatility, which
is usually characterized by a horizontal trading pattern, these bands contract towards the moving
average.
This would usually occur when the market for the stock
is in a period of indecision. One would suspect this type of
activity between major news announcements when volatility typically drops significantly.
Spotting
Breakout Potentials
As a measure of volatility for stocks, Bollinger bands
can represent areas where many investors place orders to protect against an unfavorable breakout concerning
their position.
Typically, when the bands have been narrow for a
significant period of time, a breakout from the band can represent a fairly strong indication that volatility
will increase in the direction of the breakout.
Such an occurrence, therefore, should be regarded as a
possible trading opportunity.
Trading near the upper or lower Bollinger band limits
is also interpreted as a possibility that a trend reversal is about to occur.
This does not always materialize, however, and one
should always use other indicators in conjunction with Bollinger bands to confirm a suspected market
reversal.
This prudent approach also holds true for when trading
breaks out of the Bollinger limits.
Whatever the move anticipated by an individual
investor, he or she is always wise to use confirmation indicators before undertaking a
position.
Measuring the Value of Oversold or Overbought
Securities
As a volatility measure, Bollinger band limits
basically indicate whether an individual stock is overbought or oversold.
However, they do not in and of themselves indicate a
buy or sell signal.
Bollinger bands are actually indicators as to the
volatility of a particular security. As a result, for trading
purposes, one would want to look at the activity of trading within the bands in conjunction with another tool,
such as the Relative Strength
Indicator, to properly undertake investment
decisions. Historically, when a price movement has been identified
originating at one of the Bollinger limits, it will more likely than not continue at least to the opposite limit
band.
Bollinger bands are in essence a graphic
representation of the volatility that exists in the market for any particular stock.
As such, they allow the investor the possibility to
identify periods where opportunities for the undertaking of successful positions can arise.
When used in conjunction with other indicators, the
knowledge and use of Bollinger bands can greatly improve any individuals trading performance.
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